Forecast market, policy and power-mover outcomes, and build reputation using dwellbacks.
Questions
7
Open
7
Resolved
0
Total forecasts
2
Accord targetopen
Binary
1.2 million new, well-located homes target
Will the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council endorse the National Housing Accord target (for 1.2 million new, well-located homes) by 30 June 2029 as 'suitable' in its 2026 report to government?
Closes: 16 Apr 2026
Resolves: 30 June 2029
Community: 0%
You: - · Pool: 100 Dwellbacks
Click card to open your forecast.
Power movesopen
Binary
Homes assembled for housing
Will unused (abandoned) homes be mandatorily re-introduced as housing supply in Victoria, in the year ending 30 June 2027?
Closes: 15 June 2027
Resolves: 30 June 2029
Community: -
You: - · Pool: 0 Dwellbacks
Click card to open your forecast.
Policy & Regulationopen
Binary
Will negative gearing be substantially reformed before the next federal election?
Resolves YES if substantial negative gearing reform is legislated before the next federal election date.
Closes: 01 Mar 2028
Resolves: 31 Dec 2028
Community: -
You: - · Pool: 0 Dwellbacks
Click card to open your forecast.
Market Dynamicsopen
Binary
Will Sydney's median house price exceed $2 million by end of 2027?
Resolves YES if a nominated official/accepted median series reports Sydney median house price above AUD 2,000,000 by end-2027.
Closes: 01 Dec 2027
Resolves: 31 Dec 2027
Community: -
You: - · Pool: 0 Dwellbacks
Click card to open your forecast.
Policy & Regulationopen
Binary
Will stamp duty in NSW be reduced or abolished for downsizers before 30 June 2027?
Resolves YES if a NSW State government policy is introduced to create new (as of the date the forecast is made) policy to grant a stamp duty concession to downsizers or retirees.
Closes: 15 June 2027
Resolves: 01 July 2027
Community: -
You: - · Pool: 0 Dwellbacks
Click card to open your forecast.
The National Planopen
Binary
National Housing and Homelessness Plan
Will a National Housing and Homelessness Plan be adopted by 30 June 2027?
Closes: 15 June 2027
Resolves: 30 June 2027
Community: 3%
You: - · Pool: 200 Dwellbacks
Click card to open your forecast.
Market Dynamicsopen
Binary
Will the Australian rental vacancy rate drop below 1% nationally by the end of 2026?
Resolves YES if national rental vacancy is reported below 1.0% at any official reporting point in 2026.